PricewaterhouseCoopers: Credit Crisis Halts Deals

For every positive article, there's a negative. From MarketWatch.

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Credit crunch, economic turmoil halts commercial real estate deals: report

By Amy Hoak, MarketWatch

CHICAGO (MarketWatch) -- Commercial real estate deals are, for the most part, on hold these days as buyers and sellers wait for the credit crunch to ease and the economy to rebound, according to a report released Thursday by PricewaterhouseCoopers.

Financing problems are keeping some deals stalled, but other would-be buyers just aren't willing to take a chance on properties as the country deals with increased job losses and problems on Wall Street, according to the firm's quarterly Korpacz Real Estate Investor Survey. They're questioning tenant demand in the near term for just about every type of property, from office space to retail, as workers lose their jobs and consumers tighten their purse strings.

"Few investors expect problems in the financial markets to ease any time soon and even fewer expect debt availability and lending practices to return to where they were prior to the credit crunch," said Tim Conlon, partner and U.S. real estate sector leader for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in a news release. "Uncertainty has stalled investments and dramatically reduced sales and leasing activity."

The roller-coaster ride that the markets have been on this week is only making matters worse, said Susan Smith, editor-in-chief of the survey and a director in the PricewaterhouseCoopers real estate sector services group.
"This just adds to more growing concern, more hits on confidence, more uncertainty on how long it's going to take to clean everything up," Smith said in a phone interview. "You're not going to see properties trade until investors are confident that the worst is over."

In the face of uncertainty, those who have commercial property now will likely hold on to what they have and ride out the correction, she said. Some investors are expecting an increase in distressed sales involving assets with nonperforming loans or discouraged owners in the coming months -- something that investors with capital on their hands may view as buying opportunities.

According to the report, the average overall capitalization rate showed a year-over-year uptick in an increasing number of markets. Higher cap rates typically mean lower values. Survey participants said they expected cap rates in each surveyed market to increase in the next six months.

That said, while the short-term out look is bleak, the long-term picture for commercial real estate is much brighter, Smith said.

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